Another cog in the wheel known as the Vast Right Wing Conspiracy to combat the Extreme Left-Wing Media.

Thursday, March 30, 2006

2006 Baseball predictions

Sunday night the Cleveland Indians kick off the 2006 Major League Baseball season in Chicago against the same team they started and finished against last year the White Sox. So without further ado here are my predictions for the divisional races this year followed by miscellaneous comments.

AL East - The same two teams have finished first and second in this division for the last 7 years. That should change.
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankes
Toronto Blue Jays
Tampa Bay Devil Rays
Baltimore Orioles

AL Central - Since the inception of the Central Division, last years White Sox were the first team from this division to win the World Series.
Cleveland Indians
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals

AL West
Oakland A's
(whatever city) Angels
Texas Rangers
Seattle Mariners

NL East - Owned by the Braves for 14 straight years
New York Mets
Florida Marlins
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia Phillies

NL Central - 6 teams in a division is too many
St Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers
Houston Astros
Pittsburgh Pirates
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs

NL West - Arguably the weakest division in baseball
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
Colorado Rockies

Various random thoughts on the upcoming season. The Yankees are old. Average age of their 25 man roster is 34 years old with Cano the only starter under 30. The Yankees' main off season acquisition was a 32 year old center fielder with a bad throwing arm. Everyone is focusing on the steroid aspect of the new drug policy and ignoring the amphetamine ban. Older teams (Yankees, Giants, etc) will be affected more by the ban as the season goes on than younger teams. Toronto is a trendy pick. However, they spent oodles of money on unproven players one of whom is already on the disabled list. People are praising the White Sox' off season moves, but I think they have taken a major step back. Thome is one of my favorite players, but the difference between him and last years DH's isn't going to make up for the loss of Aaron Rowand. If you need stolen bases in your AL fantasy league look to Detroit and Tampa Bay. Jim Leyland and Joe Maddon will have their teams running the bases aggressively. Kevin Millwood could improve his won/loss record even as he sees his earned run average increase by more than a run. I think every publication is listing the Marlins as the worst team in baseball. I disagree. They may have traded away every veteran, but they got some seriously talented players in return. I predict a slow start and a strong second half. The Royals are a much more accurate selection for worst team in baseball. KC added a couple of nice pieces but their pitching remains awful. Bad pitching equals losing baseball.

AL awards:
MVP: Victor Martinez
Cy Young: Jeremy Bonderman
Mgr: Jim Leyland
Comeback player: Jim Thome (7 homers last year - 40+ this year)

NL awards:
MVP: Carlos Beltran
Cy Young: Zach Duke
Mgr: Willie Randolph
Comeback player: Nomar Garciaparra

Other predictions (I'll add more as I find them):
Chris Lynch
Lee Sinins - If you want to know what's going on in baseball check his site daily.
Don Surber
Baseball Musings
Deadspin
Aaron Gleeman

5 Comments:

Blogger Call Me Jack said...

Great, original takes on the upcoming season. I hope you're right about the Tribe, but pitching will determine it.

Your AL award picks are either gin-induced or inspired. Jeremy Bonderman? I love it!

We can only pray that V-Mart has an MVP season.

All I can say is, Go Tribe!

6:25 PM

 
Blogger chris said...

Bonderman and Duke for Cy Youngs? Are you off your meds?

FWIW - I'm rooting for the Indians too. I just like Eric Wedge and I think their front office if the MLB equivalent of the Patriots.

9:16 AM

 
Blogger LargeBill said...

Jack,

That would be rum induced. In all honesty I expect the Tribe to get offensive production from across to board and not have one player stand out enough to be MVP.

Chris,

Pitchers are so unpredictable it could be any number of players. Bonderman seemed to figure things out in the second half last year. Also, Detroit picking up Rogers means Bonderman will not be getting matched up against #1's.

Funny you should mention a Patriots/Indians similarity. Pioli and Shapiro are good friends with similar styles.

12:09 PM

 
Blogger Matthew B. Novak said...

Just happened to be looking around at 2006 predictions and happened upon your blog. I think you're not totally crazy with most of your picks, and I actually like the Bonderman pick. Or rather I would if he played on a team that would rack up wins for him. Cy Young voters care about the wins, so that'll end up costing Bonderman serious consideration. He's a way underrated pitcher though. Also, for the record, I agree with your White Sox analysis, but I don't think the Tribe will be the benefactors - it'll be the Twins. See my predictions if you want. http://mbnovak.blogspot.com

3:46 PM

 
Blogger DonSurber said...

Finally linked ya!

Detroit second? Hmmmmm

3:03 PM

 

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